Revenues Could Decline 28.3% Annually in Bellevue’s Central Business District (CBD) During Construction of Sound Transit’s East Link Light Rail.
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Revenues in Bellevue’s Central Business District have a high probability of declining by more than $229 million annually based on a projected decrease in customer visits during construction.
Assessment of the total impact considers nearly one-third of Bellevue households (50,355 total – 2010 U.S. Census) will make one less visit per month in each of four categories: shopping, dining, enjoying entertainment and using professional services in the CBD. Impact is based on results of 417 residents surveyed.
Nearly one-third (31.7%) of Bellevue residents in the research reported they will visit the Central Business District less frequently during construction. In addition, 3.4% said they will increase their visits, creating a net reduction of 28.3% in annual visits. The research found a resident makes an average of 165 trips to the Central Business District per year for shopping, dining, entertainment and professional services. Average amount spent per visit is $97.34. By calculating one less visit per month for each of the four activities noted, the total economic value of the “missed visits” is more than $1.8 million for individuals surveyed.
Net Loss of 28.3% in annual revenues during construction
| Sample size | 50.355 | 417 |
| Visits/year (average 165.12) | 8,314,618 | 68,855 |
| Value of visits ($97.34 average expenditure) | $809,344,877 | $6,702,350 |
| Decrease in expenditures (31.7% decrease in visits = 4 fewer visits/mo.) | -$256,562,326 | -2,124,645 |
| Increase in expenditures (3.4% increase in visits = 4 additional visits/mo.) | +$27,517,726 | +$227,880 |
| Total net impact | -$229,044,600 | -$1,896,765 |
